Duterte Beats Poe in Latest Magdalo Survey, Trillanes Silent
Mayor Rodrigo Duterte has overtaken Senator Grace Poe in the latest survey among members of Magdalo group. The group earlier said it supports Poe-Trillaes tandem on the coming presidential elections.
Duterte emerged as the top choice among the presidentiables with 31.9 percent to dethrone Poe off the top in the mock poll conducted between December 9 and 11 among 3,000 respondents. Poe came in second place with 26 percent.
Not far behind is Vice President Jejomar Binay with 23.6 percent followed by Mar Roxas with 13.5 percent, Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago with 4 percent and former Ambassador Roy Señeres with 0.1 percent
Magdalo party-list Rep. Francisco Ashley Acedillo blamed the series of disqualification cases as the main reason behind Poe’s drop in numbers.
It is puzzling though, that Trillanes – a member of Magdalo group came second to the last only ahead of Honasan by 2%.
“One of the observations during the survey is that a significant number of respondents presumed that Senator Poe was already disqualified from running for president, or were asking if she was already disqualified. Since our researchers are not allowed to engage with the respondents to avoid influencing their answers, the issue was not clarified to them,” Acedillo pointed out in a statement.
The survey provided the respondents with the list of candidates and asked with the question: ‘If elections would be held today, who among the following candidates would you vote for?”
In the October poll, Poe was the runaway winner with 43 percent, followed by Binay with 27 percent, Roxas with 17 percent and Santiago with 11 percent. Duterte was not in the list then as it included only those who filed their certificate of candidacy (COC).
Vice president
In the vice presidential race, Senator Francis ‘Chiz’ Escudero maintained his lead over rivals with 28.8 percent, followed by Sen. Ferdinand Marcos Jr. in second place with 22.3 percent.
Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano came in third with 16.6 percent, followed by Rep. Leni Robredo with 11.7 percent, Senator Antonio Trillanes IV with 10.6 percent and Sen. Gregorio Honasan with 8 percent.
Acedillo said they are expecting the numbers to change, especially those of Duterte and Poe, in the coming weeks once the two aspirants’ respective disqualification cases before the Commission on Election (Comelec) are resolved.
“We expect that these figures and the candidates’ rankings will continue to notably change, especially when the Comelec en banc and the Supreme Court, eventually, will release their decision on Senator Poe’s and Mayor Duterte’s candidacies,” Acedillo explained.
The survey was conducted nationwide and has a margin of error of +/- 1.8 percent.
Senator Trillanes earlier called SWS and Pulse Asia surveys rigged after Duterte led in both polls.
/Erica Rosales/
